In October, the demand for passenger and commercial vehicles in India showed signs of moderation, while two-wheelers and tractors experienced positive momentum, according to a report by Motilal Oswal. Two-wheeler sales grew by 4-5% year-on-year during the festive season, although this was limited by a high comparison base from the previous year. Inventory levels for two-wheelers and passenger vehicles remain high, making the Diwali season crucial for inventory clearance.
The report noted that passenger vehicles might see a decline in sales compared to last year's festive season. Rural sentiment has improved due to a better monsoon, potentially boosting demand, though its sustainability post-festive season is uncertain. Retail sales during the Navratri festival showed mid- to high-single-digit growth, with rural areas experiencing more subdued sales. There is hope that rural demand will increase around Diwali.
Conversely, commercial vehicle demand remained weak, with a projected year-on-year decline of about 5% in volumes during the festive period. However, there was a slight improvement from the previous month, with increased fleet utilization levels in most regions. Overall, the report highlighted mixed sentiment across vehicle categories, with two-wheelers and tractors showing resilience, while passenger and commercial vehicles face challenges as the industry approaches the critical Diwali season.
Two-wheelers are vehicles like motorcycles and scooters that have two wheels. They are very popular in India because they are affordable and can easily navigate through traffic.
Tractors are strong vehicles used mainly in farming to pull heavy loads and machinery. They are important for agriculture, which is a big part of rural life in India.
Passenger vehicles are cars and other vehicles used to transport people. They are different from commercial vehicles, which are used for carrying goods.
Commercial vehicles are trucks and other vehicles used to transport goods and materials. They are important for businesses and trade.
Inventory levels refer to the amount of products, like vehicles, that are available for sale. High inventory levels mean there are many vehicles waiting to be sold.
Diwali is a major festival in India, also known as the Festival of Lights. It is a time when people often buy new things, including vehicles, which can boost sales.
The monsoon is a rainy season in India that is crucial for agriculture. A good monsoon means more rain, which helps crops grow and can improve rural demand for vehicles.
Fleet utilization refers to how much commercial vehicles, like trucks, are being used. Improved fleet utilization means these vehicles are being used more efficiently.
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