China and India: Tensions Along the Border and Military Preparations
In recent times, the world has been focused on conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, as well as tensions in the South China Sea. However, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) of China has been quietly strengthening its position along the southern border with India.
US Intelligence Report
The US Intelligence Community’s Annual Threat Assessment mentioned that the disputed border between China and India remains a strain on their relationship. Although there have been no significant clashes since 2020, both sides maintain large troop deployments, risking miscalculation and escalation.
PLA Activities in Aksai Chin
Dennis Blasko, a former US defense attaché, reported on PLA activities along the Aksai Chin border. He noted that the PLA rapidly moved troops into the region during the Galwan Valley clash in June 2020. Blasko assessed that the PLA is prepared to maintain its deployments near the Line of Actual Control (LAC) indefinitely.
Challenges and Logistics
Blasko highlighted the challenges of transporting large units over long distances and the importance of supply depots located 1,600km away. The Western Theater Command, responsible for nearly half of China’s landmass, has unique equipment and units to manage these operations.
Current Deployments
Blasko estimated that the PLA has around 20,000 soldiers deployed over a 400km front in Aksai Chin. This number is smaller than the 40,000-60,000 often reported in non-Chinese media. He concluded that this force is inadequate for a large-scale offensive but sufficient for defensive operations.
Comparisons to South China Sea
Blasko drew parallels between China’s actions along the Indian border and its activities in the South China Sea. He noted that the PLA is prepared to stay in the region until a political solution is reached.
Infrastructure and Training
China has been building new infrastructure, such as bridges and roads, to support troop movements. The PLA has also launched training programs to help soldiers acclimate to high-altitude conditions and created ‘vegetable factories’ to provide fresh food for border troops.
Future Conflicts
Blasko warned that further border confrontations could occur, especially as small units come into close proximity. He emphasized the importance of ongoing and robust action to dissuade China from its provocations.
